NYJ @ TEN

Week 1 • 2026

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✓ Simulation Complete 100 simulations

Win Probability

NYJ

41%

41 wins

4 ties

vs

TEN

55%

55 wins

NYJ

14.6

TEN

16.8

Q1 NYJ 🏈 TD 75 yds • 20 plays +7 ▼

Play	Down	Yard Line	Yards
1	1&10	75	+3
2	2&7	72	+10
3	3&1	62	+3
4	1&10	59	+1
5	2&9	58	+5
6	3&4	53	-8
7	1&10	61	+11
8	1&10	50	-1
9	2&11	51	-4
10	3&15	55	-4
11	1&10	59	+9
12	2&1	50	+8
13	3&1	42	-6
14	1&10	48	+2
15	1&10	46	+17
16	2&1	29	+5
17	3&1	24	+5
18	4&1	19	+3
19	1&10	16	+11
20	1&10	5	+5

Q1 TEN 🔄 Turnover 54 yds • 17 plays ▼

Play	Down	Yard Line	Yards
1	1&10	72	-10
2	1&10	82	+12
3	1&10	70	+5
4	2&5	65	+3
5	1&10	62	-5
6	2&15	67	+6
7	3&9	61	+6
8	1&10	55	+3
9	1&10	52	-4
10	2&14	56	+9
11	1&10	47	-6
12	2&16	53	+4
13	3&12	49	+18
14	4&1	31	+8
15	1&10	23	+10
16	2&1	13	+1
17	3&1	12	-6

Q2 NYJ ⬇️ Downs 31 yds • 15 plays ▼

Play	Down	Yard Line	Yards
1	1&10	86	+13
2	2&1	73	+4
3	1&10	69	-12
4	2&22	81	+5
5	3&17	76	+6
6	1&10	70	+4
7	2&6	66	+10
8	1&10	56	+3
9	1&10	53	-6
10	2&16	59	+2
11	3&14	57	-6
12	1&10	63	+13
13	2&1	50	-4
14	3&5	54	-4
15	4&9	58	+3

Q2 TEN 🔄 Turnover 4 yds • 1 plays ▼

Play	Down	Yard Line	Yards
1	1&10	49	+4

Q2 NYJ 🔄 Turnover 65 yds • 10 plays ▼

Play	Down	Yard Line	Yards
1	1&10	59	-5
2	2&15	64	+17
3	1&10	47	+12
4	1&10	35	-3
5	2&13	38	+3
6	3&10	35	+13
7	4&1	22	0
8	1&10	22	+13
9	2&1	9	+6
10	3&1	3	+9

Q3 TEN ✅ FG 90 yds • 20 plays +3 ▼

Play	Down	Yard Line	Yards
1	1&10	99	+15
2	2&1	84	+3
3	1&10	81	+5
4	2&5	76	+7
5	1&10	69	+18
6	2&1	51	+3
7	3&1	48	+12
8	4&1	36	-2
9	1&10	38	+1
10	1&10	37	+6
11	2&4	31	-10
12	3&14	41	+2
13	4&12	39	+10
14	1&10	29	+20
15	2&1	9	+3
16	3&1	6	+1
17	1&10	5	-5
18	1&10	10	+1
19	1&10	9	+4
20	2&6	5	-4

Q3 NYJ 🔄 Turnover 0 yds • 1 plays ▼

Play	Down	Yard Line	Yards
1	1&10	80	0

Q3 TEN 🏈 TD 28 yds • 8 plays +7 ▼

Play	Down	Yard Line	Yards
1	1&10	20	-3
2	1&10	23	-5
3	1&10	28	+1
4	1&10	27	+10
5	2&1	17	-7
6	1&10	24	+2
7	2&8	22	+10
8	3&1	12	+20

Q4 NYJ 🏈 TD 81 yds • 18 plays +7 ▼

Play	Down	Yard Line	Yards
1	1&10	80	+8
2	1&10	72	+7
3	2&3	65	+12
4	1&10	53	-9
5	2&19	62	+14
6	3&5	48	+8
7	4&1	40	+3
8	1&10	37	-10
9	1&10	47	-3
10	2&13	50	+7
11	1&10	43	-9
12	2&19	52	+1
13	1&10	51	0
14	2&10	51	+7
15	1&10	44	+17
16	2&1	27	-7
17	1&10	34	+26
18	2&1	8	+9